Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.262164 0.288008 0.314390 0.343281 0.373977 0.405567 0.440479
2024-12-15 0.237210 0.274263 0.313383 0.357589 0.405976 0.457161 0.515225
2024-12-22 0.213706 0.258628 0.307488 0.364203 0.427849 0.496708 0.576471
2024-12-29 0.197875 0.249474 0.307090 0.375543 0.454000 0.540487 0.642395
2025-01-05 0.180728 0.237063 0.301569 0.379895 0.471427 0.574050 0.696830
2025-01-12 0.165068 0.224947 0.295172 0.382193 0.485716 0.603576 0.746514
2025-01-19 0.150036 0.212307 0.287062 0.381517 0.495788 0.627749 0.789799
2025-01-26 0.138928 0.203602 0.282927 0.384939 0.510213 0.656704 0.838564
2025-02-02 0.132103 0.199746 0.284300 0.394715 0.532059 0.694381 0.897746
2025-02-09 0.122425 0.191429 0.279443 0.396233 0.543450 0.719346 0.941772
2025-02-16 0.115653 0.186471 0.278463 0.402290 0.560216 0.750709 0.993535
2025-02-23 0.111325 0.184500 0.281108 0.412793 0.582458 0.788793 1.053628
2025-03-02 0.103111 0.176818 0.276088 0.413478 0.592663 0.812706 1.097438
2025-03-09 0.096268 0.170621 0.272691 0.415999 0.605042 0.839288 1.144663
2025-03-16 0.088729 0.162886 0.266758 0.414787 0.612355 0.859418 1.183937
2025-03-23 0.084506 0.159801 0.267053 0.421791 0.630290 0.892960 1.240074
2025-03-30 0.078849 0.154129 0.263374 0.423121 0.640602 0.916778 1.284109
2025-04-06 0.073355 0.148324 0.259184 0.423478 0.649439 0.938629 1.325698
2025-04-13 0.067621 0.141724 0.253486 0.421430 0.654831 0.955919 1.361483
2025-04-20 0.063636 0.137706 0.251378 0.424266 0.666708 0.981588 1.408029
2025-04-27 0.061745 0.137067 0.254261 0.434197 0.688289 1.020032 1.471179
2025-05-04 0.057846 0.132714 0.251272 0.435488 0.697915 1.042783 1.514210
2025-05-11 0.055381 0.130695 0.251752 0.441747 0.714387 1.074617 1.569140